In the last module, you learned that a hypothesis can either be
confirmed (affirming the consequent) or falsified. In this module
you will learn how it can be falsified (proven false).
Let's
suppose that you're doing a scientific experiment. If you do the
experiment right, you should get certain results (observations).
But you don't get the expected
observations. That argument looks like this:
This argument shows that you didn't get the expected observations,
so the hypothesis must be wrong. That is the form modus
tollens,
which is a valid argument form.
That means your conclusion is certain. The hypothesis is falsified.
It is very important to know that hypotheses end up being one
of two argument forms: Affirming the consequent (invalid) when
confirmed and modus tollens (valid) when falsified.
Note: If you are still confused about these argument forms, you
must review the sections on deduction, induction, and the argument
forms - Modus Ponens and Modus Tollens. Do not proceed until you
are absolutely clear on how they work.
Continue for more on hypotheses.
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