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Causal fallacies involve any claim that something caused something
else, where that might not be the case. Ask yourself if that's
the only way it could have happened. Could something else have
caused that which is being overlooked? Is it more complicated
than the way it is being presented?
Post hoc, ergo propter hoc is a specific type of causal fallacy
where it is said that because event A occurred before event
B, that event A must have caused event B. Consider alternative
possibilities.
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The effect is caused by a number of objects or events, of which
the cause identified is only a part. A variation of this is the feedback
loop where the effect is itself a part of the cause.
(i) The accident was caused by the poor location of the bush.
(True,
but it wouldn't have occurred had the driver not been drunk and
the pedestrian not been jaywalking.)
(ii) The Challenger explosion
was caused by the cold weather. (True, however, it would not
have occurred had the O-rings been properly constructed.)
(iii)
People are in fear because of increased crime. (True, but this
has lead people to break the law as a consequence of their fear,
which increases crime even more.)
Show that all of the causes, and not just the one mentioned, are
required to produce the effect.
Definition: One thing is held to
cause another when in fact both are the effect of a single underlying
cause. This fallacy is often understood as a special case of post
hoc ergo prompter hoc.
(i) We are experiencing high unemployment which s being caused
by a low consumer demand. (In fact, both may be caused by high
interest rates.)
(ii) You have a fever and this is causing you
to break out in spots. (In fact, both symptoms are caused by
the measles.)
Identify the two effects and show that they are caused by the
same underlying cause. It is necessary to describe the underlying
cause and prove that it causes each symptom.
Definition: The relation between cause and
effect is reversed.
(i) Cancer causes smoking.
(ii) The increase in AIDS was caused
by more sex education. (In fact, the increase in sex education
was caused by the spread of AIDS.)
Give a causal argument showing that the relation between cause
and effect has been reversed.
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